"In 2020, the average American city experienced a homicide rate spike of around 30 percent. Some have claimed that the rise was caused by a “police pullback” following the death of George Floyd in May of that year. But new research from the Brookings Institute suggests that murder rates were already rising and that Covid policies, which …
"In 2020, the average American city experienced a homicide rate spike of around 30 percent. Some have claimed that the rise was caused by a “police pullback” following the death of George Floyd in May of that year. But new research from the Brookings Institute suggests that murder rates were already rising and that Covid policies, which left young, poor men unemployed and out of school, might have had more to do with it."
BS
Look at the Brookings study. It is very plain that the homicide rate never exceeded 475/week, but then shot up to as much as 600/week immediately after the Floyd death. The trend lines that are drawn are biased to try to minimize that. Draw a straight line from the start of 2020 through week 21 (May 24) and it is flat with a small bump in early April. Only in Week 22 (May 25) does it shoot up.
"In 2020, the average American city experienced a homicide rate spike of around 30 percent. Some have claimed that the rise was caused by a “police pullback” following the death of George Floyd in May of that year. But new research from the Brookings Institute suggests that murder rates were already rising and that Covid policies, which left young, poor men unemployed and out of school, might have had more to do with it."
BS
Look at the Brookings study. It is very plain that the homicide rate never exceeded 475/week, but then shot up to as much as 600/week immediately after the Floyd death. The trend lines that are drawn are biased to try to minimize that. Draw a straight line from the start of 2020 through week 21 (May 24) and it is flat with a small bump in early April. Only in Week 22 (May 25) does it shoot up.