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Why? He is a narcissistic con-man, that’s why. And the Republican Party is a spineless servant to him, that has lost any sort of common sense or moral grounding. The party needs to self immolate after it loses to Kamala, and hopefully a common sense center-right can emerge.

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Here is a headline:

"Say, Has Kamala Ever Led a Prosecution?"

https://hotair.com/headlines/2024/09/27/say-has-kamala-ever-led-a-prosecution-n3795063

As much as the press suddenly tries to convince us they thought Harris was brainy all along and as much as she insists "I came from a middle class family" (& tries to convey the sense that she had no father) the reality is that she grew up with two very educated, ambitious parents who managed to get her through law school and past the Bar after two tries... but she seems to have just slept with Willie Brown and gone into politics because she isn't too quick.

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Its painful to watch, i think the longer your in politics the more stupid it makes you. thats a sad truth.

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He can’t help himself, my friends and I have been talking about this since the debate with Biden. He keeps bringing up the 9 month abortion that only happens in rare cases instead of just saying he just wants term limits like basically every other western country has. He has to say rapists and murderers are coming across the border and they’re eating cats instead of just saying Biden/Harris are letting in 1-2 million illegal immigrants in a year. Etc etc. Biden and Harris's policies have been so disastrous it would be so easy to shred them apart at the debates and in the media but he hasn’t capitalized at all because he feels the need to go these hyperbolic one liners about topics that nobody cares about. I told Trump supporters you may not like Nikki Haley but if you vote for her it will guarantee a Republican victory and they’re taking their chances going with Trump again. Well, here we are…

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"Oh, shut up, silly Republicans," I say with a grin. "You knew damn well he was a snake before you took him in."

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"We have met the enemy and they are us"!

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Sep 27·edited Sep 27

Where is the DOWN THUMB? The UP THUMB is the TRUMP thumb. Now no sane person in America can use the old casual "thumbs up" gesture. Just like the trumpian fascists took away our old OK sign. What next?

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founding

Let's see. He has no common sense, no political acumen, he hangs out with losers, the best people he hires are actually the worst people, he's a bully, he's a buffoon, he lacks tact. And I voted for him twice.

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Why?

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founding

The other side's programs and policies are horrific.

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That’s the point - imagine what the Republican Party could achieve if this buffoon wasn’t the party leader.

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founding

But we're stuck with him, and the D's will correctly hang him around our necks for a generation, a period during which I will probably expire. Both parties are in bad shape; the R's for what we've noted, and the D's because they can't contain their own wackos and way out policies.

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This “Trump is his own worst enemy” line of thought is humorous. It supposes that there’s a “good” Trump under all that madness. He’s awful - nobody in NY real estate ever took him seriously, he bankrupted companies and then he found his role in the world as a reality show host. Then he ran for president and somehow he’s brilliant. He’s a slick talking salesman, that’s it. As for his track record - nonsense - the only things he accomplished in the White House were standard conservative / Republican platform issues. Any Republican president would have done the same with Congress in line. He’s a joke, always has been.

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I disagree. There are plenty of actions, policies Trump pulled off as president that no Republican has ever before done or could accomplish, if they wanted to. Curiously his polarizing demeanor may have provided some of his success as well as some of his downfall. I think the article alludes to that fact. How many times have i thought no dont go there Trump after some remark! Then other times, well nobody else has dared to ever say that, he is spot on.

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founding

Some good things happened while he was in the WH; maybe it was just good luck, although he did a good job on the border. His success was isolating his opponents one by one in the 16 primary process, labeling and degrading them like the 7th grader that he is.

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True.

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Or maybe Trump isn’t winning the race because Harris is the stronger candidate.

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First, we don't know whether or not the race is close, voters haven't weighed in, and Harris doesn't have primary numbers to point to for context. We also know that a not insignificant portion of Trump voters aren't forthcoming with pollsters, so there's no way to know if the tight race is tight, or whether the silent trump voter has yet to appear?

Second, Trump becomes his own worst enemy because he refuses to stay on message and sell what should be the easiest closing argument in recent memory: Economy (wages up, inflation down), Border (stop drugs and lower crime), End Wars (Ukraine and Israel). Should be an easy close, and if Trump can't show message discipline and loses a squeaker, he can look in the mirror for who to blame.

That said? He's also dealing with an established media that is dead-set against him. Just look at the headlines for Trump or Harris. Its almost 1:10 negative Trump to positive Harris. Trump also gets little/no positive national coverage (certainly not positive) and despite that fact the guy is everywhere. From Late July to early September he did an X interview with Musk, All-In Pod (Tech/Finance), Theo Von (comedy), Lex Friedman (brainy) Shawn Ryan (Veterans/Military), Howie Carr, Dr. Phil, Lou Dobbs, Dan Bongino - all in addition to the normal campaigning and cable news interviews etc. JD Vance is also everywhere (All-In, Shawn Ryan, Charlie Kirk, Mark levin, Margaret Brennan, Dan Bongino, Megyn Kelly, David Axelrod, Clay Travis) not to mention his normal campaigning etc. There is a real possibility that between the established media's bias and the Trump campaign's grassroots/direct to voter media strategy that the numbers are off.

In 2020 Trump lost AZ by 10,457 votes. Along the way he offended McCain Republicans, Latino Republicans, Chamber/Country Club Republicans, and LDS Republicans. If he'd taken a softer tone? He'd have won. In 2024, hes facing a similar problem but its more message discipline.

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I don't understand why Trump seems immune to the same criticism that brought down Biden: his age related limitations. Just because he presents as bellicose instead of halting does not mean that dementia isn't both clear and present.

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The Democrats didn't actually like Biden, he was nominated because he could beat Trump. The GOP worships Trump and the party is controlled by his family and loyalists.

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founding

Because next to Biden he came off like a young buck. No longer the case.

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I have to agree with this writer. Trump is his own worst enemy in campaigns. It really angers me because this election is not about HIM, it's about US and this country as well as the future of the free world! He needs to get down on his knees every night & pray to God to help him & to give him much greater wisdom. He should be winning by a landslide in the polls because of the terrible record of Biden-Harris! Makes me crazy that it's even close.

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Unfortunately, it really doesn’t matter who wins now, does it? Obama had both house and Senate majorities and could only get a donor written ACA. No abortion rights, voting rights, no bail out for homeowners, Flint, MI. When a black dem president lets people poison black children and mocks them, it’s over. That’s what did it for me. Whither and the dem AG ignore Flint too. Sherrod Brown isn’t talking about E Palestine either. Neither are DeWine, Jordan, none of them.

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I understand your point about policy. But the one step beyond policy that Trump seems willing to take, which Harris does not, is the willingness to reject the election system itself. The Dems may have groused about the Supreme Court electing GWB, but in the end no one challenged the stability of the system by rejecting the legality of the results. This continues to be the case. Trump and his supporters seem perfectly willing to take that step, as they tried to do January 6, 2021.

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Based on the national polls, if the election were today then Trump would probably win 320 EC votes.

Right now, Harris is +2.0.

Hillary was up by 3.2 and won the popular vote by 2.1

Biden was up by 7.2 and won the popular vote by 4.5, but he won the Presidency by a mere 50,000 votes split among three states.

Due to their structural weakness, a Democrat needs to win the popular vote by more than 3 to win the EC. I'm sure pollsters have adjusted their models to try to fix the nearly 3 point gap they saw in 2020, but they did that when they tried to fix the 1 point gap in 2016.

What's amazing is that Harris is polling better than Biden, even though she had a lower approval rating before becoming the candidate.

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I think the polls, which are not election results, would show him up by a mile if the press covered Harris the same way they cover Trump, or Walz the way the cover JD. Stories about her sleeping with Willie Brown, about her non sensical responses to questions, about her being involved "in all the decisions I made" (Joe Biden) and still running around saying "on day one I will...(fill in anything that people care about that she hasn't done squat about in 4 years and won't after election)

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